BUFFALO, N.Y. (WIVB) — As Week 18 of the NFL regular season approaches, the cancellation of Monday night’s Bills-Bengals game has made what was originally a straightforward seeding path for the Bills a bit more complicated.

As of Saturday night, the team currently holds the No. 2 seed in the AFC, but that could change this weekend. Depending on the Bills’ matchup with the New England Patriots as well as how other games turn out, Buffalo could finish at either the No. 2 seed or No. 3 seed. This comes after Kansas City’s win on Saturday, clinching the Chiefs the No. 1 seed.

Following Sunday’s results, the Bills have earned the No. 2 seed in the AFC and will face the Miami Dolphins in the Wild Card round on Sunday, January 15 at 1 p.m. at Highmark Stadium.

What games should Bills fans pay attention to this weekend?

While plenty of scenarios can play out around the league for various playoff spots, the list of games that affect the Bills is short:

  • Buffalo Bills (-7.5) vs. New England Patriots, 1 p.m. Sunday.
  • Kansas City Chiefs (-9) at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:30 p.m. Saturday.
  • Cincinnati Bengals (-9.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. Sunday.

What would make the Bills the No. 2 seed?

Based on the teams that are betting favorites in each of the three above games, the No. 2 seed seems to be the Bills’ most likely finishing position. That would unfold in the following scenarios:

  • If Buffalo wins, the Bills will be the No. 2 seed.
    • In this scenario, the AFC Championship game would be played at a neutral site if Buffalo and Kansas City face each other.
  • If Buffalo and Cincinnati both lose, the Bills will be the No. 2 seed.

What would make the Bills the No. 3 seed?

There is only one scenario that would cause the Bills to drop a spot in the standings:

  • If Buffalo loses and Cincinnati wins, the Bills will be the No. 3 seed.

So as Bills fans show their adoration and support for Damar Hamlin on Sunday, the team will have a solid idea of what a win or loss against New England means for their playoff-seeding fate.

Adam Gorski is a Buffalo native who joined the News 4 team in 2022. You can find more of his work here.